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Barack Obama wins the South Carolina Primary
According to the polls, Barack Obama gained roughly 55% of the vote, with John Edwards and Hillary Clinton splitting the remaining half with 18% and 27% respectively. Since African Americans are half of the registered voters in South Carolina, it was a crucial state for Barack to win in order to demonstrate that Iowa was not just a fluke. Today, 80% of those African American voters voted for Barack, with the remaining 20% voting overwhelmingly for Clinton over Edwards. He also picked up a quarter of the white vote, while Clinton and Edwards split the remaining two-thirds. Clinton picked up a disappointing 40% of women, while Barack and Edwards split the remaining 60%. Interestingly enough, six in ten voters were persuaded by Bill Clinton’s campaigning in the last couple of weeks. Over half of those white voters who decided within the last three days voted for Edwards, with the rest going to Obama and Clinton about evenly.
Here is the latest delegate count:
The Democratic nominee needs to win 2,025 delegates.
The Republican nominee needs to win 1,191 delegates.
The latest LA Times/Bloomberg Poll found that Clinton would fare best, according to registered voters, in a general election against any of the Republican candidates:
McCain 38%Clinton 49%
In a recent LA Times/CNN poll, Hillary Clinton was ahead of Obama in California:
Being that New York is the state that Clinton represents, she is expected to win that contest. Here are the results of a Times-Herald poll:
The results of a Rasmussen poll taken in New Jersey:
An IVR Poll in Texas:
Quinnipiac University conducted a poll in Ohio and found that Senator Clinton was ahead of Senator Obama:
I’m tired of writing this all out, so here is this:
Arizona Clinton 37% Obama 27
Alabama Clinton 43% Obama 28
Connecticut Clinton 41% Obama 27
Oklahoma Clinton 45% Obama 19
Utah Clinton 31% Obama 18
Missouri Clinton 44% Obama 31
Arkansas Clinton 57% Obama 17
Delaware Clinton 41% Obama 17
Minnesota Clinton 47% Obama 22
Tennessee Clinton 34% Obama 20
We should know who the nominee is by February 6.
And for the Republicans…
New Jersey McCain… 29 Romney… 14 Huckabee… 9
New York McCain… 30 Romney… 9 Huckabee… 8
Georgia McCain… 19 Romney… 16 Huckabee… 34
California McCain… 29 Romney… 17 Huckabee… 10
Arizona McCain… 40 Romney… 23 Huckabee… 9
Alabama McCain… 27 Romney… 15 Huckabee… 27
Connecticut McCain… 39 Romney… 11 Huckabee… 8
Oklahoma McCain… 29 Romney… 8 Huckabee… 31
Colorado McCain… 11 Romney… 8 Huckabee… 5
Illinois McCain… 31 Romney… 20 Huckabee… 11
Utah McCain… 6 Romney… 65 Huckabee… 2
Missouri McCain… 31 Romney… 21 Huckabee… 25
New Mexico McCain… 20 Romney… 7 Huckabee… -
Arkansas McCain… 9 Romney… 7 Huckabee… 59
Delaware McCain… 14 Romney… 10 Huckabee… -
Idaho McCain… 14 Romney… 38 Huckabee… -
Minnesota McCain… 22 Romney… 5 Huckabee… 2
Tennessee McCain… 12 Romney… 7 Huckabee… 24
These candidates all know who they are facing in the general election…
And Hillary knows it…
For the Democrats, if the results are close by the time the Convention rolls around, we may see John Edwards attempt to throw his weight around, albeit light. Barack and Hillary might begin courting Edwards for his support because he may very well be the kigmaker. He might be looking for a VP spot, to position himself for a future White House bid, or for some other important position. This is why Edwards has insisted that he will go all the way to the Convention.
Oh, and Rambo exceeded my expectations. It had an overly simplistic storyline, but the action and gore effects were fantabulous. I left with a smile.
The LA Times has published new poll numbers today. They show Hillary Clinton leading nationally, but Barak Obama is closing that gap. The poll also shows that John McCain is leading nationally, with Mike Huckabee in second and Mitt Romney a not too distant third. For a more in depth look at the results here is a link:
National Poll Numbers
Breakdown of issues in the Democratic and Republican Parties
A closer look at the Republican results